If you've understood the fundamentals of sports betting, it's time to delve deeper into the most popular betting methods. We'll show you how to place sports bets successfully using the appropriate technique and what to watch out for.
When it comes to selecting the best sports betting strategy, there are many different points of view. Is there ever a perfect approach for succeeding in sports betting, or is the greatest strategy just to be flexible in your strategy selection? In any event, we've compiled a list of the greatest and most promising betting techniques to help you increase your income over time. Let's get started!
1. 1X on home outsiders strategy
If an outsider plays against a favorite at home, a popular betting strategy in the past has been to wager on the "double chance" 1X. The "1X" wager offers reasonable odds and lucrative profit potential in this situation.
Home win or draw betting strategy
With this method, you don't even have to identify and analyze games that feature absolute extremes and evident class disparities. As a result, you don't have to bet against Barcelona, Bayern Munich, or Juventus as an away team. We'd probably steer clear of value bets at this point. Even if we choose teams who aren't huge underdogs but are still considered outsiders by the oddsmakers, we can obtain incredibly appealing odds between 1.60 and 2.50.
As with all bets, it's crucial to do your research ahead of time and not just pick a team at random. Of course, you should consider statistics, as well as early information on injuries and suspensions, as well as the teams' current lineups. The outsider's home advantage provides another modest edge for the home team by allowing them to play in front of their own audience versus a "larger" one. You can surely discover value in such an outsider bet with double chances, especially if the relevant favorite has recently shown itself fragile versus "smaller ones."
You can, of course, utilize this 1X method for games with balanced odds if you accept lesser odds.
2. All-in on odds at 1.20 strategy
This betting strategy entails winning a series of bets and always taking advantage of the maximum number of opportunities to make a reasonable profit. However, it is equally clear that you will lose all of your money if you lose a bet. But if you win 30, 35, or even 40 times in a row, you'll win a lot of money!
All-in on odds at 1.20 – betting strategy
For this, we utilize odds of roughly 1.20 - ideally, you should search for the bets you're playing in real-time. You can wait until the odds have reached the ideal level, just as you can with the approach of betting over 1.5 goals in what is judged to be typical "over" games. Here, the over 0.5 bet is ideal – that is, the wager that the game will not end in a 0-0 draw. After a goalless 30 minutes, the rate is usually 1.20 – depending on the match, it can be lower, but it can also be higher. Of course, which form of bet you wish to use to monetize your betting sequence or money race, is a question of personal preference.
You must play at roughly the same odds every time. This is definitely a patience test, and it isn't really exciting at first, but there is no set objective, and you can stop at any point and collect your prizes. If you start a series of bets with a stake of 10 €, for example, that's all you can lose. So you find a bet with odds of 1.20, win it, and instantly bet the 12 € you gained on odds of similar value. You win 14.40 €, which you will put towards your next wager.
Profits will appear slowly at first, but will quickly climb as the stake rises. If you manage to obtain 30 correct picks in a row, your initial investment of 10 € will have grown to 2,373.76 €. We'd be at 5,906.68 € after 35 accurate picks and 14,697.71 € after 40 correct picks.
Of course, getting so many tips right in a row is quite unlikely – but this progressive betting approach is fun to try.
You cannot lose much if you do not start the betting sequence with a huge stake, and there is always the possibility of creating a real streak while using this betting method.
3. The 1-3-2-6 system
The 1-3-2-6 strategy is similar to a Paroli, which is another positive progression betting system. Both feature rising stakes following a win and a cycle of bets that ends at a predetermined time. The only real distinction is in the betting order.
Few systems are easier to grasp than 1-3-2-6, and its simplicity appeals to a wide range of players.
There are a variety of additional advantages that contribute to its appeal.
Of course, there are disadvantages to any betting strategy. Below, we look at the 1-3-2-6's positive and negative elements, as well as the details and how it's applied.
Use of the 1-3-2-6 system
The 1-3-2-6, like many other betting systems, was created for bets that payout an even amount, such as red-black bets in roulette. It is, in fact, commonly employed on the roulette table as well as in other casino games including baccarat, dice games, and blackjack. It doesn't really matter what you use it for as long as you're playing with even numbers.
As previously said, this is a pretty basic system. All you have to do is modify your bets according to a few basic guidelines.
First and foremost, you must determine the value of your betting unit.
As a general rule, once you've decided how much you're willing to lose in a single session, your betting unit should be roughly 2% to 5% of that amount.
For example, if you wanted to play with a total of 500 €, a sensible wager would be 10 €. The amount you wager on the first bet in the series is referred to as a bet unit. The sequence terminates after each lost wager, and you begin a new one – and you insert a betting unit once more.
You change your stake according to the sequence 1-3-2-6 if you win a bet. So, if you win your initial wager, you increase your stake to € 30 the next time (three betting units). If you win this as well, you'll bet € 20 on your following wager. If you win again, you will bet € 60 the next time. We've already got the 1-3-2-6 pattern.
If you win the fourth bet in a row, the sequence is complete, and you can begin again. Remember that if you lose, your stake will be reset to a betting unit as well.
This is essentially how the 1-3-2-6 betting system works. You should have no trouble using this system successfully as long as you follow the minimal set of guidelines.
4. The Fibonacci betting system
One of the various betting systems accessible today is the Fibonacci betting system. We'll explain what it's all about here.
The Fibonacci betting strategy
Betting on the Fibonacci sequence is unquestionably divisive. However, there are certainly sports bettors who have had significant success with it. This method has significant dangers, but with the appropriate luck and a good nose, you can succeed with it.
The primary idea behind betting using the Fibonacci sequence is to bet on a tie. If you lose, simply bet on the next tie using a certain key and increase your investment.
The odds for a tie must be greater than 2.62 (more precisely: 2.618); fortunately for individuals who want to use this method, there are many tie bets with these minimal odds. It is preferable to have a greater rate.
You just bet the next tie after a Fibonacci sequence if you lose.
The Fibonacci sequence is a series of integers in which the sum of two successive numbers yields the next number, making it an endless series of natural numbers.
On Wikipedia, you may learn more about the Fibonacci sequence.
So if you bet 1 € on the first draw with odds > 2.62 and lose, you wager 1 € again the next time, then 2 €, then 3 €, then 5 €, then 8 €, then 13 €, and so on.
It is mathematically obvious that whatever profit you make on this wager will offset your prior losses, and you will end up with a net profit.
An example of the Fibonacci bet
Take, for example, a scenario in which you lose ten times in a row before winning the eleventh time. In this example, you have already lost 143 € and have finally won a bet on the eleventh number in the Fibonacci series, 144. If we suppose the winning bet had odds of @ 2.80, you will win 403.20 €. You bet a total of 287 €, resulting in a net profit of 116.20 €.
This strategy's downside is equally obvious. If you lose not ten, but twenty bets in a row, you will have lost 16,910 € in stakes. This is a sizable bankroll, which you should never put at risk for a betting sequence like this.
5. The Kelly formula
Of course, there are several theories, concepts, and algorithms that might assist you in determining the optimal stake on a bet. The Kelly formula is one of them.
Of course, there's no assurance that you'll always bet right, and determining the likelihood of a game's conclusion is still up to you. However, the Kelly method might assist you in determining the magnitude of your wager.
The Kelly formula works like this.
- You pick a game or an event and assign a percentage to the outcome. For example, let's say Austria defeats Germany, and you give it a 20% chance of happening.
- Now you're looking for an odd for this event that you think is reasonable.
- The probability and odds are then entered into the Kelly formula, which yields a value.
Let's consider a 20 percent chance of winning with odds of @ 5.50 as an example.
First, we calculate the probability of 100 percent, which is 1:
Now we can continue calculating and determining the appropriate stake for this bet. The formula for determining a reasonable stake is as follows:
Percentage of bankroll to be set = value / (odds – 1)
In our case this means:
Given the likelihood you've estimated and the odds you've chosen, the Kelly Formula suggests betting 2.22 percent of your bankroll on this event.
Of course, how you employ this formula is highly influenced by your judgment of the chance. And if you believe a game outcome is quite likely and hence increase the value significantly, you could end up with 30 percent or even more of your bankroll. Of course, you should proceed with caution because your bankroll might quickly deplete in this manner.
When computing the initial value, it's also possible to receive a negative result.
This occurs when you place a bet with a low estimated probability of winning on a low-odds event.
As a result, your value is negative, which simply means that if you are unsure about something, your bet will not pay off...
Have fun and good luck!
.png)
0 Comments